Right now, much of Maryland's fate rests on what the rest of the bubble does. With a few strong finishes, Maryland - even if they get to the fabled 8-8 + 1 - could be left out (though I still find it unlikely). That being as it is, I decided to look at what the bubble looks at right now.
I ended up getting 52 bids that are already locked down. These bids are either tournament winners (for instance, whoever wins the America East conference tourney will be the bid - no team has a good enough resume to get in otherwise) or schools that have it locked down (UConn, UNC, etc.).
That leaves 12 spots for the taking, but one will inevitably be stolen by a team that doesn't deserve to get in winning their conference tourney and stealing a bid. I divided up the bubble into two sections: normal bubble, and the bad side of the bubble. The latter are teams that are either making a late push but will have to have an incredible finish (Northwestern) or have harder roads (Tulsa, New Mexico). They aren't out yet, and a few will get in, but it's just going to be harder. I ended up counting 14 normal bubble teams, with another 7 on the bad side, adding up to 21 total. That means about half of the bubble teams will get in.
Check after the jump for a full breakdown of teams.
My locks are as follows: