It seems to be common knowledge that we need help in the backcourt in 2013. That we have to sign someone capable of playing a solid 20 minutes a game for us. But I'd like to challenge that assumption.
In today's CBB basically spots 1-3 are all guard spots. We have 6 players capable of playing in the 1-3 slot: ayman, Wells, Peters, Allen, Faust and Smo (though I'd rather have him at the 4--Turge has talked about playing him at the 3 a lot)
Wells needs to be on the court for 30-35 minutes a game. Turge likes to keep guys rested so let's assume he gets 30 minutes a game.
That leaves 90 available minutes at the 1-3 spot. We already have 5 guys capable of soaking up those 90 minutes. What exactly is the problem?
But in reality we are much better off than even that. Does anyone on this site really lay claim to an assertion that Faust, Layman and Allen shouldn't get at least 20 minutes per game (unless they are overtaken by Peters at some point).All three of those players are in huge, "show me what you got" type years. They need to get at least 20 minutes per game. At least. In reality, I'd like to see them all get 25 minutes per game to start and then adjust accordingly. That would be a combined 75 minutes per game, which leaves us with only 15 minutes a game to play Peters, at first. Which is Perfect!
And we'd still have the option of putting smo at the 3 for stretches if Turge wants to go big.
If you add a player like Marshall, or Eli Carter, or Barton, you are adding another guy who has to be kept happy. At minimum, you'd think these guys would be expecting 20 minutes a game and would get such a promise from Turge before coming. We are a rather big step up from Penn State, but nobody is leaving Penn State to play 15 minutes a game for a school that has missed the tournament 3 years in a row.
So put down Marshall for 20 minutes a game and all of a sudden, you either don't play Peters at all, or one of Layman, Faust, or Allen is going to have significantly limited minutes. And you now have to carve into people's already limited minute to find time for Smo to play the 3.
Here is the expected mins per game without a Marshall Type:
Smo: Spot duty at the 3 in certain situations.
And now with a bigger name transfer type a la Marhsall:
Smo: Spot duty
Assuming a healthy season, I like the rotation up to a WHOLE lot better. To me, Marshall is just not that much better than Layman/Faust/Allen to warrant bringing on another mouth to feed in the rotation. Last year we all saw what happened when guys like Allen and Faust and Layman could just never get into a groove or settle into a role. I think the line up with Marshall is destined for a repeat of that performance.
Now, of course the rotation up top is thin, and assuming a healthy season is dangerous. An injury to anyone would require Roddy to get big minutes right away. And an injury to 2 of those players could mean spot duty for a walk on.
So I propose this: instead of looking for the Marhalls, and Carters and Bartons of the world--find a guy who is a capable, dependable PG. Nothing flashy. Maybe he can make a shot every now and then. Basically he's a reliable PG, significantly better than a walk on, but has no real need to play more than spot duty unless the situation calls for it (kind of the Loagn A. of the PG position). Because we don't have the minute to give away if everyone is healthy. At the same time this gives us some depth, and assures us that a 2 month sprained ankle for Seth doesn't make our tournament hopes vanish into thin air. It would also make sure that Nick Faust doesn't get a whiff of the PG spot and can finally grow as a wing player.
I have to believe there are guys out there like that. That kind of addition would just make so much more sense to me than these more high profile names.
So here would be the minutes with a Logan A. calliber PG:
Transfer: Spot duty
Smo: Spot duty
This is the lineup we need. It preserves the PT for guys we need to step up and develop, and it gives us depth.