ACC Men's Basketball Strength of Schedule

by FHFAN on Feb 8, 2012 9:11 PM EST

Bear with me on this:

In posts elsewhere on this site, I've said that I think if MD gets to 8-8 in the ACC that Mark Turgeon should be Coach of the Year. Then it stuck me that Leonard Hamilton is doing a pretty good job at FSU sitting at 7-1 in the league and what seems to me to be a fairly favorable second half schedule. So I went back to look at the pre-season ACC poll and saw that FSU was picked 3rd and could drop to that position if they stumble. I then decided to try to find some orderly (if completely unscientific) way of evaluating the relative SOS in the league schedule. So I assigned each team a point value based inversely on their pre-season predicted finish. Thus UNC a game against was given 12 points because they were picked first in a 12 team league and should theoretically be the most difficult to play. Duke would be 11, FSU 10 and so on down to BC at 1. Because of the unbalanced schedule, I added and arbitrary 5 points for playing on the road. Thus, MD's game at Comcast was weighted at 12 points for MD's schedule and the game in Chapel Hill is worth 17 (12 for playing UNC + 5 for a road game). Conversely, because MD was picked 9th, the game at Comcast is worth 9 points for UNC and the game in CH is worth 4. Applying this methodology to every team, I came up with the following relative SOS (the higher the point total, the harder the schedule):

GA Tech 133

NCState 139

BC 142

Duke 142

Miami 142

Wake 142

Clemson 143

UNC 143

UVA 148

VA Tech 148

Fl. State 149

MD 157

Does anyone else think that if MD gets to 8-8 coming off a 7-9 last year, losing is best post player and 3 seniors and playing what is possibly by far the toughest league schedule that Turge will have earned serious COTY consideration

Anything deemed inappropriate will be deleted by an admin or moderator with the power to do so. The views of the above FanPost do not represent the beliefs of Testudo Times or Testudo Times' authors, nor are they the work of them.

Tweet Comment 9 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

I know I shouldn't respond to my own post but

BC just dropped FSU so….

by FHFAN on Feb 8, 2012 9:19 PM EST reply actions

fsu had a big lead too

Completely ruined their own momentum.

by ThreeTerp on Feb 8, 2012 11:27 PM EST via mobile up reply actions

Everyone has the same number of road games

so probably not much need to add that part in.

Otherwise, somewhat interesting and a little more evidence to add to the eye test that MD has a schedule stacked against them a bit more than the other teams in the league. Thats always going to happen to someone in the unbalanced schedule, this year it happened to be us. Hopefully the selection committee’s (probably NIT) take this into consideration.

BTW, only way I think we start to get NCAA recognition is if we beat either Duke or UNC or sweep UVA/FSU and win nearly all the other should win games. Or of course win the ACC tourny (less likely). Otherwise, we probably needed to beat Miami and maybe even NCSU in the first away game to establish ourselves as the clear #5. Currently, we’re closer to the clear #7, maybe 6, maybe 8th place team in the league.

by tERP01 on Feb 9, 2012 6:31 AM EST reply actions

Interesting..

No doubt that playing Duke and UNC twice makes our conference schedule tough. If Maryland finishes 9-7 and/or somehow works its way into the tournament, Tuegeon should get conference COY.

That’s a big IF but I love the way he has the team competing right now.

Go Terps!

by VCTerp on Feb 9, 2012 8:22 AM EST via mobile reply actions

Turg

I think if they go 8-8 and win a couple tourney games Turg will be seriously considered for coach of the year. I think he was well like and well respected by the other coaches in the league and most of the media (except Jason “douche” King).

It really is amazing what he has gotten out of this year’s team. Despite some of our late game struggles, we have competed in every game except two in the early season tournaments.

I’m excited to see how we do in chapel hill and durham. I think Turg will get the kids to play with a chip on their shoulder early in those games. It also helps to have a guy like Stoglin that brings his swagger to every gym, no matter the atmosphere.

by mprice7umd on Feb 9, 2012 11:09 AM EST reply actions