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Fallout: Where Does Haukur Palsson's Sudden Departure Leave Maryland, Now and in the Future?

Without a team member from the Nordic countries, for one. Also without a white guy with a tattoo.

Smart-aleck answer: with 8 scholarship players, dummy.

Longer answer: Palsson's random declaration of leaving the program to pursue a pro career in Europe does indeed leave Maryland rather short-handed and is a pretty big blow for the short-term, but there might be a long-term silver lining.

Let's tackle the short-term first. Yes, Maryland has a lonely eight scholarship players, five below the normal number of 13. Of them, two are Berend Weijs and Mychal Parker, players in their second year with the program who received almost no playing time last season. Another is Ashton Pankey, who hasn't played a game of basketball the last two seasons.

So, yeah, not a particularly enviable position.

Star-divide

Palsson leaving probably doesn't radically change the way Maryland will play. It'll just make it more difficult to pull off. I imagine Mark Turgeon will continue to go with a guard-heavy lineup, but instead of being able to plug Palsson in as a swing 3/4 to guard some PFs for 25 minutes, he'll have to either keep in Sean Mosley - who, I have a feeling, might be an Iron Man of sorts for the Terps this year - or Parker (putting Nick Faust up against a 4 would be an exercise in futility), or play two of Weijs, Pankey, and James Padgett at the same time.

And as the bench thins, I'm guessing that putting two big men on the floor is something that Maryland's going to have to do more and more. We keep hearing about the four-guard set that Turgeon wants to run, but it's tough to remember that that's probably not the default here, but instead an alternative lineup that will be used with regularity. Considering there are now only five perimeter players on the team at all now, sticking four on the floor consistently is not only a gamble, it's probably impossible.

And that might not be a terrible thing. While playing Pankey (a giant human-shaped question mark and/or walking stress fracture) or Weijs (who still might not top 200 pounds) against Tyler Zeller hardly sounds appetizing, I like it a bit more than the thought of Sean Mosley trying to check John Henson. While I'd obviously prefer the guards to be on the floor as much as possible, Maryland will have to play some two-post-player sets occasionally, based simply on the necessity of the situation. They'll certainly have to do it more now that Palsson is gone.

The good news is that Maryland is still not without scoring ability, and I imagine offense is probably where they're going to have to win their games. (After all, rebounding is a lost cause and there's going to be a fair number of matchup problems defensively.) Terrell Stoglin is a prototypical scoring point guard - undersized, quick, a good outside shot, and absolutely no conscience whatsoever. He'll be doing a lot of shooting this year, much like he did in his high school in which he was the best player on the team, and Maryland might win a few games solely on the virtue of a couple of John Gilchristian performances.

The key for Maryland will probably be to find a secondary and tertiary scorer, neither of which really exist right now, to take some pressure off Stoglin. The obvious front-runners, based on experience, are Pe'Shon Howard and Mosley. I'm sure some think Mosley is a lost cause, but I remember too well the freshman and early sophomore days of Sugar Sean to write him off entirely. He'll never be a volume scorer, but there's absolutely no reason (except perhaps a mental block) he shouldn't be able to get 12 points a game off elbow jumpers, putbacks, and fast-break buckets.

But there's high-level scoring potential elsewhere, particularly from Nick Faust, who is an offensive dream. I've been reluctant to pencil him in as a starter, or even as a consistent scorer off the bench, but there's no more choice now despite his true freshman status. It's a good thing, then, that Faust possesses every offensive weapon possible in his arsenal: he's a sniper who has developed a dribble-drive game, a nightmare for defenders. Faust will have his share of bumps in the road, simply because he's a freshman, but he's too good not to show out for a few nights and make people salivate over what's to come.

In fact, if Stoglin, Mosley, and Faust are all clicking, Maryland should be able to match most any team in the ACC point-for-point. Strong, consistent performances out of Faust and Mosley would be huge for this team.

Mychal Parker is much in the same boat as Faust, for what it's worth: he'll have to get major minutes now, if only because no one else is there to take them up. And despite Parker's supposed mental trouble last season, his physical tools are undeniable. Actually, Parker and Faust are the only two players on the team who will be able to match up with most of their ACC counterparts, physically speaking.

In fact, Faust and Parker are probably the big winners out of this, along with Ashton Pankey - all three will get heavily increased opportunities they wouldn't have seen otherwise. (Everyone else is probably a loser.) Oh, and throw into the winner category: recruitniks and some lucky 2013 player who wouldn't otherwise have a scholarship waiting for him.

Because the open door to this closed window is the extra scholarship Palsson vacated to share to between the 2012 and 2013 classes. Depending on how Mark Turgeon & Staff make use of it, that extra scholly could be more important than anything Palsson could've brought.

Before Palsson left, Maryland had six scholarships to give out in the 2012 class, and another two in the 2013 class. That put them in a bit of an uncomfortable situation: they obviously need reinforcements right away, but leaving only two open scholarships for the talent-laden 2013 class seems ... short-sighted. Remember, Maryland's in the top tier of five top-25 2013 prospects: the Harrison twins, Nate Britt, BeeJay Anya, and Kennedy Meeks. Limiting that group to two - especially if they're the twins, who are a package deal - would hurt, particularly because they'll need a big man or a wing in addition to a top-flight PG.

So the two choices available to Mark Turgeon were: hand out five scholarships in 2012 and leave three for 2013, or hand out six in 2012 and leave just two for 2013, assuming no extra attrition. It's a tough choice between immediate assistance and long-term program-building. Now, he can have both (or overload on one).

Palsson adds an extra scholarship to the 2013 class, bumping it to seven open slots, but it will likely be banked for the 2013 class. Here's an example of what it could mean: say, hypothetically of course, Maryland adds Shaq Cleare, Prince Ibeh, Jake Layman, and Amile Jefferson for the rest of the 2012 class, and secures early commitments from the Harrison twins in 2013. Yeah, yeah, yeah, National Champion 2014, cartwheels, champagne, blah blah blah. Palsson's vacated scholarship is the difference between having to pick between A) choosing between in Elijah Macon for 2012 or Kennedy Meeks for 2013, or B) getting both. And I know which of those I choose.

But, of course, that sort of glass-half-full mentality requires some level of optimism about Turgeon's ability to recruit. If you don't have that, then the extra scholarship is worth probably no more than another Palsson, only two years younger. That's not a camp I fall into personally - he's done too much too well so far - but to each his own.

Long-term, Palsson's loss (and gained scholarship) could, potentially, be a boon. Short-term, it's a pretty big hit for a team that was already pretty down on its luck. Maryland was never going to be good and Palsson wasn't single-handedly going to make them good, but he was a nice asset for a team that desperately needed them. Next year is a lost cause for Maryland - a Wake Forest-like season isn't entirely out of the running. If they can avoid the ignominy of that type of year, I'll have hope for all Mark Turgeon-coached teams in the future.

Really, if Maryland and their fans can gain anything out of this year, it's hope for the future. (That, and a few treasured upset wins.) If Turgeon can keep this team competing, then imagine what he can do when he has actual talent and depth.

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Is it too late to pick up a JUCO!!!

I wander if it is too late to pick up a JUCO big man? I know Turge said he wouldn’t pick up a stiff just to pick up a stiff. But this news is caused for desperate action. Is Waverly Austin, Matt Gorski, somebody, anybody available please… That is over 6-8 and over 210 pounds would do…

by xxrdotxx on Aug 2, 2011 12:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Think

We can still play like a great mid-major. Pull a few upsets.

by PaTerp on Aug 2, 2011 12:45 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

As great as the 2012 and 2013 classes are,

I’m slightly concerned about having such unbalanced recruiting classes. Its obviously not possible to predict how long some of these guys will stay around, especially without knowing who they even are, and something has gone really wrong if some of the guys we’re targeting stay around for 3 or 4 years, but such a huge influx of players over a two year period could have an impact for years on attempts to balance the team.

by kba26 on Aug 2, 2011 12:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Fair point, but that can't really be helped.

For 2 reasons:

1. Four scholarship players which should be on the roster next year are unexpectedly gone

2. Turgeon needs to be successful by 3-4 years out, meaning these recruiting classes are needed to get him there. Then, balance will be important once he gets there.

by ivan24 on Aug 2, 2011 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I'm not really saying theres much he can do about it.

And you don’t turn away a 4 or 5 star recruit for the sake of balance, but it does present its own set of challenges. You don’t want to put yourself in a position to have to fill a 1/3 of the squad in a single offseason very often.

by kba26 on Aug 2, 2011 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

it can work out fine

just keep getting good players, year after year

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

No margin for error though when you need to fill so many spots

if you only need 1 or 2 players, you can offer 4 or 5 top recruits and take the first one to commit. if you need 3 or 4, you may need to may aim a little lower so you aren’t left with nothing.

by kba26 on Aug 2, 2011 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or you just go

LAVS on everyone and recruit HAM! lol

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weijs

Gotta read the article that D1scourse just wrote about him. He’s up to 210 and has gained alot of muscle. Makes me garner some sort of hope for Berend.

by terps on Aug 2, 2011 1:05 PM EDT reply actions  

he is still about 40 lbs under weight. and don’t forget he was a bench player at the jc level and played about 10 min last yr. so it’s hard to count on him for anything other than to give 5 fouls

by fkterp on Aug 2, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weijs, JP, AP, JA, SB + at least one more walk-on

5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 = 25 plus another walk-on PF – Hack a Shaq revisited … lol

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

creative and everyone gets to play

by fkterp on Aug 2, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

It may come true

for the teams with poor free throw shooting down low. If we do that, plus take a large number high quality threes due to better guard play, it could be a big swing of pts right there. All I know is Turge will find a way to tweak the lineup to max out performance as best he can. I do not envy him on that task, but it’ll fun for me to observe as an avid student of the game. I’m the nutty guy who sits at a lot of the less competitive non-conference games analyzing our sets, seeing who is still hustling when we’re up 20, lateral quickness, how the frosh look talent and composure wise, etc. I’m a bball junkie for sure. Probably one of my only vices in life – which is a good thing in my book.

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Walk-Ons

Im sure Turge is gonna have to use Walk Ons this year alot…Any chance ESPN wants to film it ala Bob Knight at Tech.

by LargoD85 on Aug 2, 2011 1:16 PM EDT reply actions  

I forget the name of that show

But, it was actually pretty cool. Interesting thing to see. Behind the scenes of a walk on tryout.

by terps on Aug 2, 2011 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow I think I'm going to be sick...

Am I asking too much for the Terps to be nationally relevant.? I dont think so we have great tradition, great academics, great facilities, and great fan base. I mean if I was a prospect I would be knocking down the door in order to be a part of UMD. I understand this is a process but I need something positive coming out of UMD. Everything lately has been negative about my school, what else could happen? Peshon decides to go onto the AND1 tour, or whatever it is called nowadays… Turge and Co, get on your J.O.B and start seeing some results…

by xxrdotxx on Aug 2, 2011 2:50 PM EDT reply actions  

For this season

U ARE asking too much. Two years from now – watch out. By then, we’ll know about our 2-3 stellar recruits for the next two recruiting classes, plus a few more gems…

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can we sign on several walk-ons just for one year?

Not ideal, but you gotta figure we need a couple bodies (2-3) just to guarantee that we have 5 players to put on the court. I mean we have 8, but frankly I’m counting it as 7 until Pankey actually plays. Obviously we’ll pick up at least 1 and he might even get more PT than any walk-on has gotten since I’ve been a terp fan (96-97).

Not that it matters, but I guess this also definitely means no red/white scrimmage at Midnight madness unless we play some of our alumni or something (has been done before).

by tERP01 on Aug 2, 2011 4:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Pretty sure you can take how ever many you want

Look at UNC’s bench—it always seems like they have 20 guys on the team.

by ivan24 on Aug 2, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

lol - good one

And you always see at least 2 senior walk-ons + a no PT scolly Senior starting on Senior night

"firegary, go sit under the basket at one of FCHS's games next year so...
Seth can flush one right down your throat you little trouble making hatin’ weasel…"

by bball purist on Aug 2, 2011 6:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Walkon

Wasnt Calvin McCall techincally a walk on? If so he got the most PT of any Terp Walk On I ever seen.

by LargoD85 on Aug 3, 2011 1:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

technically walked on bball team in '99

but I think he had a football scholly, no?

"A new era has dawned in Maryland Athletics..."

by bball purist on Aug 3, 2011 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

just looked it up on UMTerps

Calvin also was a good baseball player; All-State in basketball and football at Dr. Phillips HS in Orlando.

"A new era has dawned in Maryland Athletics..."

by bball purist on Aug 3, 2011 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

He had a football scholly

Was the starting QB for a few games, IIRC. I’m pretty sure that if you’re on the football team as well as another sport, you have to have the scholarship count toward football (unless you’re a walk-on in both). So no teams in the SEC can take a good player, make him a “walk-on” and give him a scholarship for the golf team to save an extra spot.

by Ben Broman on Aug 3, 2011 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

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