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ACC Tournament: Maryland Survives Late N.C. State Run, Holds on for 75-67 Win

GREENSBORO, NC - MARCH 10:  Jordan Vandenberg #14 of the North Carolina State Wolfpack fights for possession of the ball against Haukur Palsson #13 of the Maryland Terrapins during the first half of the game in the first round of the 2011 ACC men's basketball tournament at the Greensboro Coliseum on March 10, 2011 in Greensboro, North Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

Ok, so maybe it wasn't as bad as Virginia, but Maryland's late-game collapse was still pretty nerve-racking. The Terrpains came this close to letting N.C. State storm back from a 15-point in just five minutes, but thanks to a stellar defensive play by Sean Mosley and four clutch late free throws by Maryland's freshmen guards, they walked away with a narrow victory. It was Terrell Stoglin's two late free throws that iced the win for Maryland, giving the game its 75-67 margin.

Maryland started the game with rare focus and energy, opening with a 12-2 run and getting a first half lead as large as 14. N.C. State closed with a late 8-0 run to cut the Terrapins' lead to 6, but Maryland got it back out to 9 by halftime.

The Wolfpack did well early in the second half, getting the lead down to 7 with about 12:00 left. Maryland answered with a 7-0 run, though, and looked like the better team for the next, oh, ten minutes or so. Then came a furious N.C. State rally to make things interesting at the end.

In short, the Wolfpack finally started to hit some shots and Maryland made a few poor decisions; those two factors worked in combination to let N.C. State back in the game, getting within seven points again in the final minute (thought it felt much closer). Sean Mosley had a huge defensive possession, with both a block and a steal, and Maryland's two freshmen guards Pe'Shon Howard and Terrell Stoglin hit five free throws down the stretch to ice it. It wasn't pretty, especially late, but they lived to fight another day. That may be all they live for, but you have to start somewhere.

Let's break down the five-minute collapse, though. Ignore things defensively for a moment (I'll look at it later). Just look at how bad things got offensively: over the last 5:10 of the game, Maryland was 1-5 from the field with 5 turnovers. The play-by-play for a three-minute stretch: miss, off. rebound, turnover, turnover, miss, turnover, miss, off. rebound, turnover. It was that bad. Luckily, basketball is a forty-minute game, and Maryland was pretty good the other 35 minutes.

Star-divide

A quick statistical tour of important things: Jordan Williams did what you expect, with 16 points and 13 boards. That's turned into a rather pedestrian statline for him, in all honesty (still awesome). Dino Gregory was the second-leading scorer for Maryland and the only other Terrapin with double-figures (he finished with 11). Both of the freshmen point guards had average games - they combined for 16 points, 8 TOs, and 5 assists - and that doesn't bode well for the future. They'll need to improve if Maryland's to have any chance against Duke.

As a team, Maryland won this one on its defense. Holding any team, even one as disorganized as N.C. State, to 33% from the field is pretty impressive. Better, they held them to 12% from deep, too (2-17, if you can believe it). The 'Pack had 22 more shots than Maryland, but it really doesn't matter much when you shoot so poorly from the field.

That said, if N.C. State was shooting better, Maryland would've been in serious trouble with that shot deficit. They were working at pretty sizable deficits in both offensive rebounds (17-7) and turnovers (16-9). (For the stat-junkies out there, the rebounding rate was almost as bad even when made tempo-free). That would spell trouble against a team like Duke, which will almost certainly shoot better than N.C. State did.

The turnovers go back mainly to the point guards. Simply, you can't have five turnovers from your starting point guard (Stoglin) and another three from your only one off the bench (Howard). It's not like Maryland has anywhere else to go, but that needs to be a point of emphasis in the future.

One big surprise was found in the starting lineup, with Haukur Palsson getting the starting nod over Pe'Shon Howard, Cliff Tucker, and Sean Mosley. Hawk did a great job early, scoring five of Maryland's first 12 points, but he calmed down after that. Still, all in all, I liked the lineup: it gave Maryland some height, and it's not like they're missing much offense with Palsson over Mosley. Does defense take a hit? It should, but it didn't seem to today. I'm expecting the same lineup tomorrow.

Surprise contributor of the night: James Padgett. I mentioned him in the RBP in the GameThread, and he actually did okay. His statline wasn't fantastic - 6 points, 7 boards - but it was darn solid, especially off the bench. He was more active on both ends tonight, and it was good to see. Having a strong big man off the bench is a luxury Maryland's lacked this year.

I'm not going to analyze much more, because I don't see the use in it so late in the season. But I'll say this: for five minutes, Maryland looked determined. They were energetic and drive; they looked like they did against Pitt early in the year, or maybe the first Duke game. They looked, quite honestly, like a team destined to make a run.

But that dropped off pretty quickly. This isn't a team much different from the one that was dropping games to UVA and Miami a week ago. The same deadly flaws - defensive breakdowns, offensive breakdowns, turnovers, inconsistent perimeter scoring, turnovers, rebounding - were there, and they're too much to overcome. Maryland can beat Duke tomorrow, sure, but if they do, it won't be the same team we just saw. The one that started the game, sure, but certainly not the one that played all forty minutes.

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Ben's prediction

He said 7-8 pt victory and predicted the Padge step up. Well done, Mr. Broman.

by Dave Tucker on Mar 10, 2011 10:05 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Tomorrow night...

Have the same starters. It’s going to be a tough game, don’t doubt it. As a fan, I don’t see us winning. But have the same starters as we had tonight and just compete for 40 minutes…I don’t expect to win, but let’s play with some class, and competition, ya know…who knows, right?

by cunnia05 on Mar 10, 2011 10:35 PM EST reply actions  

I think there's a good chance Gary starts Hawk again tomorrow night

I feel like his two shots in the opening minutes of this game were key. However, playing puke, i wouldn’t be surprised if Gary elects to go with the more experienced/poised Mosley.

by T Free on Mar 10, 2011 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

If we can keep it close for a half, it may give the freshmen the confidence they can play with Duke.

The second half then becomes one of making each possession count and making Duke work for every score. This is the time of the year when the young guys have learned they can play and they can surprise us. I liked Hawk’s play tonight. I also think Pe’Shon is ready to turn the corner at point. I know he loves to make those spectacular assists but I think he is beginning to appreciate those more mundane Steve-Blake-like things he can do to make these guys function as a team. I really liked one sequence where he dribbled the ball around to one side to set up a great feed to Jordan. Jordan went right up with a score.

by wmterp on Mar 10, 2011 11:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Stoglin

His defense was horrendous today. I don’t know what was up with him but he was getting beat all day. Don’t get me wrong I love me some Stogs but his D needs some major work if he is gonna be our starting PG. Also, I know our defensive numbers look good on paper but I thought we played very poorly on that end of the court. We seemed to let them get to the hoop whenever they wanted. We were just lucky that they shot so terribly from the field or else we would have been in BIG trouble. Like Ben mentioned, if we play that way tomorrow Duke is gonna blow us out.

by Terpnation on Mar 10, 2011 10:40 PM EST reply actions  

Stoglin is a defensive liability

I don’t think this should surprise anyone by now. He has struggled on that end of the court all year. Part of it is his size limitation, but I think he has a lot of room to improve in the realm of awareness and positioning. If he doesn’t work at improving his D, we’ll be in a position next season of having to outgun teams.

by jellisjenius on Mar 11, 2011 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Stoglin

His D is usually pretty bad!! It would be nice to have a big shot blocker down low to minimize that penetration…..someone like Hubert??

by bpell on Mar 11, 2011 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Observations

1. Hawk was great and that starting five gives us one more perimeter threat from the get go. Not sure if he can stick with Singler yet but I guess we will see.
2. Mosely really was huge at the end. He had the know how to pull it back once he got the steal. The freshman guards were out of control with some of the rocket passes and show boat plays. The really need to get a better sense of controling the tempo- saying that that one shot Stoglin hit towards the end was classic “No No No…oh yea OMG he made it!”
3. We haven’t learned patience in attacking the zone yet. When State went zone we collapsed for a while partly due to forcing plays too early and not using the whole shot clock to find the best angles and shots.
4. Padgett played well but it always seems like he’s about to lose the ball for some reason.
5. We are beating Duke tommorow! The 12 minute start was every bit as good as we’ve played all year. If we can play like that and keep it at that level we can and will beat Duke. The fact that we lost momentum but managed to still win the game may actually help us. I’d rather play Duke off a game like this than a blowout run and gun game where we burned all our adreneline.

by terpsontop on Mar 10, 2011 11:02 PM EST reply actions  

Who knows?

I think Hawk will develop into a solid player over the next few seasons. Not many people can stick Singler and Duke has plenty of other offensive weapons to be concerned with too. But I like him in the starting lineup.

People have been down on Mosely and in some cases it’s warranted but he’s always been a tough player and I like him on the floor in crunch time.

MD has struggled with zones for years but having a consistent zone buster outside threat helps in a big way.

Padgett plays with energy but his footwork is sloppy in the post and often travels. Slow down a beat James.

Beating Duke isn’t totally out of the question. If you get them to settle for the jump shot and their secondary players don’t shoot well MD has a shot. On the other side the Terps have to get a big game from Jordan and must also shoot a better PCT. from the outisde than they normally do.

"Have a good time...all the time." - Viv Savage

by Jergs on Mar 11, 2011 9:01 AM EST up reply actions  

off topic

Im glad I was born in md west coast bball sucks and f@#$ Terrance ross

by valenciais1 on Mar 11, 2011 12:33 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

DUKE

 MD. can play W/ these guys ! I’m not expecting a W, but we’ll scare the Hell out them. May even have a “homecourt advantge”, what other 10 ACC schools are rooting for Duke.
 The 83 Wolfpack had to win 3 ACC games to get to the dance, then we all know what happened. I know it’s 4 now, beat Duke, then all of will be happy, then time to ROLL !!!

 Been having a great time W/ you guys, lot, alota, laughs !!!!! Were not done yet !!!

by PADGE on Mar 11, 2011 4:03 AM EST reply actions  

You need to contribute too, Padge.

Solid performance there against NCST, but can you stand up to dook?

In all seriousness, I think if we can win the rebounding battle nicely, then we have much more than a punchers chance.

by kryptonianjorel on Mar 11, 2011 4:07 AM EST up reply actions  

It definitely won’t be a home court advantage. Maryland is still viewed as an outlier in ACC country so most NC St./UNC/Wake fans root for Caroline teams (at least from my experience). That combined with the fact that this game is played an hour or so from Duke will be enough of a disadvantage.

by Terps12 on Mar 11, 2011 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Loved the play

by JW last night when CJ Leslie was driving…JW faked taking the charge and stepped away causing Leslie to miss a weird shot then JW runs the floor and gets the dunk to push the lead back to ten.

by musicturtle on Mar 11, 2011 8:28 AM EST reply actions  

Stoglin, Howard, Hawk, Mosley & Williams

Closed out the game.. these freshman are getting experience early!!

by amarshall on Mar 11, 2011 9:20 AM EST reply actions  

Thoughts

I’m as jaded as anyone about this team’s semi-collapse down the stretch, but I disagree with the notion that the subpar games by Stogs and Howard “doesn’t bode well for the future.” Over the five games prior to this one, Stogs and Howard collectively averaged 24 points, 8 assists, and just 4 TOs per game, shooting 48% from the field, 43% from 3, and 89% (!) from the free throw line. I think we can spot them a mediocre offensive effort.

I also think the 19 offensive rebounds for State were misleading. They missed a ton of shots, so ultimately they only rebounded 32% of their misses, which is a perfectly acceptable rate for the Terps. The problem is that we didn’t rebound our own misses at all (20%) and we turned it over twice as much as they did, leading to more shot opportunities for them.

by jellisjenius on Mar 11, 2011 9:52 AM EST reply actions  

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