Maryland-Wake Forest Gameday Guide: Terps Aim for Easy Rebound

Where: Comcast Center, College Park, MD

When: 1:00

Where to Watch: Raycom; check local listings

Line: Vegas: Maryland -21.5 KenPom: Maryland by 16

Storylines/Notes:

  • Perfect timing...again. Last time Maryland played Wake Forest, it was directly after a close loss to Duke. This time, they play the Deacs against a demoralizing home loss. There's no better time to play a bad team than when you need an easy rebound win.
  • Going for the tie, part II. Gary Williams missed the Wooden tie last time out. He'll get a chance to do it this afternoon. And then, thank God, I'll be able to stop talking about this (kinda silly) landmark.
  • Injuries: Nothing new for Maryland or Wake Forest, which has been without PG Tony Chennault since the start of the year.
Keys in Cliches:
  • Force turnovers. This has been one of Maryland's calling cards all year, and they should get TOs to come easily against PG-less Wake.
  • Find a perimeter scorer. This is more of a desire than a key, but Wake is a mediocre defensive team. If Maryland can't find a guard or wing to score here, we might want to just chalk it up for the year.
  • Just win. Sorry to be so straightforward, but this is the worst ACC team in years. If Maryland can't win beat them at home, I don't really know what to say. Emotion will play into it, yes, but as long as they can start okay, there's no reason they shouldn't run away with it.

Lineups:

Maryland         Wake Forest
Terrell Stoglin (Fr., 6-0)   C.J. Harris (So., 6-3)
Adrian Bowie (Sr., 6-2)   Gary Clark (Sr., 6-4)
Sean Mosley (Jr., 6-5)   Ari Stewart (So., 6-7)
Dino Gregory (Sr., 6-8)   Travis McKie (Fr., 6-7)
Jordan Williams (So., 6-10)   Carson Desrosiers (Fr., 7-0)

I wouldn't at all be surprised to see a lineup change for Maryland, but I'm going with what I know for now. Maryland matches up pretty well here height-wise and in terms of experience; Clark is the only senior, but this is his first year getting major playing time.

Graph:

 

Maryland has an advantage in all the factors except for FT rate, which is improving every game. Stats say easy win.

Prediction: I know there's the potential of an emotional collapse, and that's something that can't be ignored, but Wake Forest is just too bad. If Maryland shows up - and I have no reason to expect they won't - this should be a whitewash.

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