Bracketologies: Assessing the (Minimal) Damage from Maryland's Loss
by Ben Broman on Mar 13, 2010 4:39 PM EST
in Basketball
9 comments
My thought directly after Maryland's loss to Georgia Tech was that the Terps played poorly enough to drop to a 6, but not so poorly to drop below that. Seeing how 6 is probably one of the more preferable seeds (oddly, more preferable than 5 because you face the 2 instead of the 1), that was a good thing.
The morning after, it seems like I was incorrect. At least, according to bracketologists.
SBN's own Chris Dobbertean has Maryland, post-loss, as a 5 - no change from before. Bracketology 101 does the same, slotting the Terps in the 5 seed. Maryland dropped a spot in CHN's bracket, but seeing how they were a 4 earlier, they rest as a 5 in this one. The same is true of SI and Rivals' brackets.
Joe Lunardi, the most famous of bracketologists, did drop Maryland to a 6, as did the Sporting News, so it's not ruled out entirely. At the same time, though, Jerry Palm still has Maryland as a 4; so does the Bracket Board and the Bracket Project. Could slice either way, but it seems as though the loss will have a minimal effect on Maryland' standing at this point.
Of course, this all just leads up to the Bracket Project Matrix, the zenith of bracketology, where Maryland holds a consensus 5 seed among all bracketologists.
What does that mean? Not a lot; the committee always has some head scratchers, so Maryland could end up higher or lower than they're currently slotted (personally, I wouldn't mind a 6 seed one bit, though I'd be happy with a 5 or a 4 as well).
For the sake of mentioning it, remember that year I keep referring to, the 06-07 season that this year has strangely mirrored? Yeah, well, Maryland was a 4 seed that season. Then again, they still took the last 10 games into account that year, while they no longer do.
My guess? 5 seed. Considering that fans were begging for anything better than a 7 just a few weeks ago, there's no reason not to be ecstatic with that.
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CBS interviewed
the selection committee honcho and he seemed to be stressing the fact that they would be putting as much weight on the early season record as the late. Made it pretty clear that a late season run wouldn’t tip the scales over early incompetence. In our case that leads me to believe a 6 could be imminent.
I was hoping for a 3 seed, but I think we will still be a 4.
Gary Williams for President!
Jordan Williams freshman Manbeast
I know the committee has stressed they won’t be weighing the last ten games more heavily, but it’s not like the Terps only played well down the stretch. They were 13-3 in ACC play after all. I don’t care too much about seeding, though. Whether the Terps make it to the second weekend will have more to do with match ups and whether they can find their rhythm offensively more than what they’re seeded.
by Jason Middlekauff on Mar 13, 2010 6:03 PM EST reply actions
As long as it's not a 7
As long as the Terps can pull in a minimum 6 seed, i’ll be ok with it. They have a much better shot beating a 3 in the second round than beating a two. I feel like 2s are usually solid teams, but 3s can be somewhat sporadic in their play.
Anything below a 6 would be an utter rip-off. I don’t care about the perception about the ACC being down. When a team goes 13-3 and wins the ACC, they aren’t a 7.
by Jason Middlekauff on Mar 13, 2010 6:07 PM EST reply actions
I want a 6 seed...nothing more,nothing less
I’m loving a 6 seed right about now. First we take on the 11 seed, 3rd seed, then 2nd seed. Compare that to a 5 or 4 seed that get a cupcake in the first round then play each other and end it with a #1 seed. Road to the final four is much easier as a 6 seed.
Desmond Williams
http://www.registercitizen.com/articles/2010/01/10/sports/doc4b495d015fc25952286086.txt
Did any of you guys ever hear of him? Is he any good?
not as good
as jordan. depends where he goes to prep school, then we can gage how good he can be. Seems like a fallback option.
Seeding
I’m less worried about seeding than matchups. MD doesn’t have enough big bodies and that’s a weakness exposed by GA Tech. Another weakness would be a lightning quick point guard on the opposition. I don’t know who we have that could stay with’em.
Other than these two, I think MD has a good chance to move on in the tourney.
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