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Maryland-UVA Preview

Where: Comcast Center, College Park, MD

When: 8 pm

Where to Watch: ESPN360, possibly Justin.tv (p/w is juanjuan)

Line: KenPom: Maryland by 9. Vegas: Maryland by 9.

Notes: Second game in 3 days for Maryland. The last time that happened the Terps went on the road to Winston-Salem and lost to Wake Forest in OT.

Keys in Cliches:

  • Rebounding. Figuratively. I know I'm not a player, but if I was asked to take over for David Pearman as the fourth SG off the bench, I probably wouldn't even be excited to do it. I'm mentally exhausted for a number of reasons, but I don't feel a lot of excitement or energy surrounding today's game, which isn't a good thing for a game this important. If they come out flat from the whooping Duke handed out, they'll pay for it. This team is too good to lose to UVA at home unless they don't come out ready to play.

  • Rebounding. Literally. Duke thrashed Maryland on the boards, and we saw how bad it hurt Maryland. UVA and UMD are about equal in their rebounding prowess, and its one of the few places they are. If they let UVA dominate the boards even close to what Duke did, it'll make the rest of the game all the easier for the Hoos.

  • Slow down Sylven. Mr. Learning Center (sorry, couldn't help myself) is actually quite good. We saw with Duke's Big 3 that stopping a great player altogether is extraordinarily difficult, but keeping Landesburg from lighting up the house would be nice. If they can do that, I don't have confidence in the rest of UVA's team to step up and pick up the slack. Keep him out of the lane - easier said than done, even for a guy like Sean Mosley - and he'll be forced to give it up at least some of the time.

  • Control the tempo. UVA is sloooooow, at least in terms of tempo. Slowest in the ACC, actually. Maryland, on the other hand, is one of the fastest. Bring the tempo up to a faster pace than UVA is used to, and their entire game will be thrown out of sync. Let UVA control the speed of the game, and they'll control the game as a whole.

Graph:

 

 

Prediction: My heart is not confident. But my head sees a team that is worse than Maryland by a slight margin in a lot of places. They bring little that Maryland doesn't have a better version of (Vasquez > Landesburg, Hayes > Zeglinski, Milbourne > Scott, Williams > Meyinsse, Tucker > Farrakhan). So when I think about this game, I don't see any way Maryland loses unless they simply come out flat and don't perform to what they're capable of. That's certainly a possibility, but it's tough to predict. I say Maryland makes a statement back on their home court and wins by 14, controlling the tempo while doing so: 78-64.

Poll
What will be the outcome of the Maryland-UVA game?
Maryland covers the spread. (margin of 9+)
133 votes
Maryland wins close. (1-9)
95 votes
UVA wins close. (1-9)
19 votes
Surprise UVA win. (9+)
3 votes

250 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 5 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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-9 seems high...hopefully they are right.

Anyone know if a Justin feed is possible with the ESPN 360 bcast? I cant get that.

by Sephtical on Feb 15, 2010 1:26 PM EST reply actions  

It's certainly possible

But its a little more difficult and I don’t know if the guy that maintains the feed would do it when its online somewhere else. I’d definitely check at game time. I’m sure you can find it on the radio somewhere, if not.

by Ben Broman on Feb 15, 2010 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I have a feeling we are all worried about this game...

But the team will come out strong and play the way they should and get a solid win.

by s.r.genovese on Feb 15, 2010 1:32 PM EST reply actions  

ESPN 360

is a bummer. Hopefully justin.tv figures it out. Maryland only down to an 8-seed in Lunardi’s bracket today. Still very good chance to make it up to a 5-6 range and outside shot at a 4 depending on how we finish

by amoskowi on Feb 15, 2010 2:24 PM EST reply actions  

random note...

anyone else think Tony Bennet looks like Seth MacFarlane? lol

by fedfan64 on Feb 15, 2010 4:05 PM EST reply actions  

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