Maryland Minute 1.24.10 - KenPom Really High on Terps
by Ben Broman on Jan 24, 2010 11:12 PM EST
in Maryland Minute
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PrintKenPom: Maryland at #11...in the Country
Wait, what? #11 in the country, #2 in the ACC. Not always right, but I'll take this.
Feinstein - Gary Williams Column
Great article by John Feinstein, one of the best sports writers out there still. I loved Gary before, but this article will make you love him more. Never knew he walked away from a fantastic team he'd build at Ohio State to take the MD job. And never knew that the NCAA came down way harder on MD then what Gary was told would happen. But he manned up and stayed at his alma mater, and I couldn't be happier that he did. - Dave T.
My take: Great stuff, somewhat surprisingly, because Feinstein's hit and miss for me. However, it can't be a Gary column without this:
"I was told back then that the investigation was going to end with a wrist slap. The wrist slap turned out to be two years out of the NCAA tournament, one year off TV and one year out of the ACC tournament. That was really tough to take. No one has had a penalty like that in the last 20 years, and don't tell me about Kentucky. They flat-out got caught cheating. What's more, rebuilding after probation at Kentucky is a lot different than at Maryland.
Jeremiah Attaochu to Georgia Tech
Not that surprising. With Javarie Johnson and Desmond Kearse on board, this wans't a big loss.
Greivis Vasquez Getting Overlooked by Our Friends at RTC
Not in the top 15? Okay. Maybe. But not receiving votes? Really?
Digger Phelps Dances: a Little Creepy, a Lot Hilarious
Creepy, but I laughed out loud. No way I can ever take him seriously again, though.
Mike Farrell Hosting a National Recruiting Chat Tomorrow
Feel free to submit questions to our favorite PSU homer recruiting analyst. Flood him with requests about Maryland. Tony Grimes, please.
Trevor Cooney Is More Athletic Than You Think
This is actually about 2 weeks old, but I've never seen it before. Trevor Cooney absolutely posterizes a kid in a game, which is good to see considering I'm not sure our current sharpshooter could do this. Remember, this guy is 6-3 and "unathletic".
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WOW
That Phelps video was creepy and weird. Yet it was still easier to watch then the 1st half of the clemson/duke game.
#11?
At this point in the season, that really surprises me, solely because we haven’t really played any of the ACC big guns yet (or even beaten any great teams). But the way we’ve been progressing, I wouldn’t be surprised to see us in the sweet sixteen and finish in the top 10 nationally…
Hopefully we’ll get rewarded in the coach’s poll this week. Actually, scratch that…I’d prefer to be slighted again by the polls to give our team and Gary more motivation. The less attention we get, the better we’ll play!
well that doesnt do much for his credibility does it?
The best team we beat was ranked 24…and we’re 11?
and lost to #15, #59 and #91
But I can’t say I really disagree with his project ACC record. The way the conference is looking right now, that outcome seems plausible.
by callmecostanza on Jan 25, 2010 12:19 AM EST up reply actions
Exceeding the predicted spread
Both Sagarin and Pomeroy measure how team’s do VERSUS POINT SPREAD EXPECTATION, not wins and losses. Under both measures, the Terps have exceeded expectation in each ACC game. For example we were “supposed” to beat NC State by 12, but ended up beating them by double that. We were supposed to beat BC by a couple of points, but ended up blowing them out. We were supposed to lose to Wake by six, but lost by 1 in PT. We were supposed to beat FSU by a few points but beat them handily. Over those four ACC games we’ve moved from like #52 to #38 to #33 to #18 to #11 in Pomeroy.
Give me a break...
Pomeroy has nothing to prove, he is credible among those who are knowledgeable in the industry. He is not a prognosticator, he is not some fly-by-night operation who random bloggers have latched onto.
So far we have performed incredibly well in our four ACC games (avg. 16 point victory in our three wins, and a 1-pt OT loss on the road to a good team). Our ranking will definitely come down significantly if we, say, lose to the likes of Miami, UNC (yes, that UNC), and UVa.
You may not like the way Pomeroy’s formulas come out (explained by “Brooklyn D”) but let’s stop talking about his “credibility” please. That’s not up for debate.
by jellisjenius on Jan 25, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions
Sagarin
…has the Terps at #15 in his predictor rating. So #11 isn’t outrageous relative to other statistical measures. Let’s be honest though, unlikely the Terps are really that good. I think we’re realistically a top 25 squad playing the way we are right now. Which may be good enough for 10 ACC wins and an NCAA bid, despite the poor non-conference season.
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