Bubble Watch: Saturday Open Thread
Meant to get this started earlier, but there's still a lot of games on the slate that are impactful. Updates from all the games will be in the comments section, and there'll be updates in the post once games are official.
Georgetown over Villanova, 56-54: Uh oh. Georgetown was considered to be out of it (rightly so) but this game gives some real credibility to their bid. When you consider that they have some huge wins and the hardest SoS in the nation, their resume is starting to look good. No need to worry yet - it's still looking bad for them right now, but a strong finish will get them in.
Texas A&M over Iowa State, 87-59: Iowa State kept it close but ended up getting blown out. Texas A&M is looking really good right now in terms of the buble, especially if they make a run late in the B12 tournament. They're only .500 in the Big 12, though, which could make some of the committee do a double take.
UConn over Notre Dame, 72-65: Notre Dame is pretty much done. This would've been a huge win, but unless they get four straight in the Big East tourney, Notre Dame has no chance. First favorable outcome for the Terps today.
Washington over Arizona, 83-78: Arizona is pretty much in anyway, but the longer they linger, the better. Always a chance they could fall apart.
Duke over Virginia Tech, 72-65: Thank god, I can go back to hating Duke now. That was really painful. Also, the final minute lasted forever. If VT loses their final 2, they have to have a giant ACCT to get in.
LSU over Kentucky, 73-70: Not only was this a great game, it was big for the Terps. The committee always likes Kentucky, but they can't justify putting them in when they are consistently beat by the very few decent teams in the SEC.
Dayton over Temple, 70-65: Temple is finished. That makes it five in a row for the Terps.
Purdue over Ohio State, 75-50: Just losing to Purdue isn't a big deal for Ohio State. But losing by 25 could leave a sour taste in some mouths.
BYU over Utah, 63-50: That's bad news. Even though BYU's resume is still middling in regards to actually good teams, the win gives them a great conference W and if one looks only at numbers (RPI currently 23) it'll look pretty good.
Oklahoma St. over Texas, 68-59: All OkSt needed to complete their resume was a "defining win". I'm not sure you can call Texas that, but it's possible if only by name recognition. It's actually arguable that Texas is now on the bubble. Indeed, if they can't get 20 wins and have a supbar B12 tourney, I could see them being left out.
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34 comments
Comments
Georgetown @ Villanova
Not looking too good right now. I didn’t actually put this one in the below post, because I assumed Georgetown was out of it, but this win could put them back in the discussion.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Iowa State @ Texas A&M
Currently 21-24 TAMU. Didn’t expect Iowa State to stay this close this long.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Georgetown over Villanova
It’s official.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:10 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame @ UConn
Notre Dame can’t hang. I think we’re safe with this one.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Iowa State @ TAMU
Doing surprisingly well. Currently a five-point game, but the actual play is pretty even, from what I’ve seen.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:19 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Iowa State @ TAMU
Cut the lead down to one, but they’re down by 7 right now. Looks like they’re losing touch.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame is finished.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:28 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame @ UConn
Maybe I called it too early. Notre Dame just won’t go away. It’s early yet, but I still have trouble seeing them win this game.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame @ UConn
Irish cut the lead to two. Not good at all. They’re resilient, I’ll give them that.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame @ UConn, Iowa State @ TAMU
Notre Dame only down 2 at half, Texas A&M really pulling away. No games have really gone the way we want them to, at least not yet. I’m still confident UConn will beat Notre Dame, but that’s still only 1-2.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:52 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Calling ISU @ TAMU
Not even close anymore – TAMU up 13 and has all the momentum. Meanwhile, Notre Dame down 2 at half.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:54 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Notre Dame
UConn can’t put them away. Tie game. Please, UConn, we could use this.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Duke-VT
Nolan Smith out indefinitely. Dave Neal is a wall of destruction when he sets a pick.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
'Zona @ Washington
Huskies winning by 4 right now. Good, even though Zona is pretty much already in anyway.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
UConn up 4
Hopefully they can finish it off.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Duke
Up 7 right now. Awesome news. A Duke win would not only deny VT one more big win, it’d improve Maryland’s RPI.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Zona beating Washingon
Up 5 late in the first.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Uconn up 1, 1:36 left
Come on Huskies, knock em out.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Duke up 15
Blow em out. A 30+ point loss would be tough to overcome at this point in the season.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 3:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Zona up 5
Looks like they’ve officially locked their spot in.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
VT staying in the game
Down 9 right now, could be worse.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
LSU up 4 on Kentucky
Good. Starting to get some positive news.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Purdue up 9 on OSU
Lots of good news rolling in.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
4 of the 5
Out of the games being played currently involving bubble teams, 4 of the 5 are going Maryland’s way.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Washington regains lead
Washington takes the lead from Arizona. All 5 games are currently going the Terps way.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:50 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
LOL, who's the UK-LSU game halftime commentator?
He’s clueless. No way this “punches Kentucky’s ticket”. It gets them back into the discussion, I’ll give you that, but it doesn’t guarantee a trip.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 4:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Games closing
Kentucky gaining on LSU, VT gaining on Duke. Late in the game, I’m a little scared. Both games are 2-point margins.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 5:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
God, I hate Seth Greenberg
What a ****.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 5:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Duke might've just finished it
Please close it out, Duke. Please.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 5:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Maryland just needs to
win their own games and forget about what everyone else is doing. All three of these games are winnable, especially with how Wake has been playing. I’m telling you, the committee loves the ACC too much to exclude a 20 win / 9 ACC win team.
Really though, I just could not root for Duke. I kept telling myself “We need VT to lose”, but I found myself rooting against the Dukies when it got down to it. F’in Duke.
Insert clever and witty remark slash pun here!
UMD 8/04 - 5/08: Go Terps!
by ES46NE10 on Feb 28, 2009 6:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I forgot to add
that ESPN’s sucking of Georgetown’s [censored] is beyond ridiculous. They’re 15 – 12!
Insert clever and witty remark slash pun here!
UMD 8/04 - 5/08: Go Terps!
by ES46NE10 on Feb 28, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
8-8 in ACC won't get it done.
Two of the last three years, UM went 8-8 in the ACC and got left out. They gotta win two of the remaining 3.
2005-06 19-13 8-8 (Didn’t get in)
2006-07 25-9 10-6 NCAA 2nd Round
2007-08 19-15 8-8 (Didn’t get in)
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
by duck on Feb 28, 2009 6:55 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
GT/ND
GT or ND don’t belong in the DANCE. “hoya paranoia” is long gone and the last i heard NBC was’nt carrying the DANCE so no ND
MD’s just has to worry about winning tom. nite. like they always say,1 game at a time
GO TERPS
by curtshaw on Feb 28, 2009 7:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Sorry
Took a two hour break for dinner. Updates:
Texas losing to Oklahoma St. isn’t good. OKSt is a real bubble team that really needed that defining win. If they can finish off Texas, they have it.
Indiana sticking with Penn St. Great news, hopefully they’ll get knocked out officially.
BYU handled Utah. They’re still looking iffy, but it adds some credence.
Purdue and Dayton both came through for the Terps. Temple is finished, Ohio State is iffy.
LSU won at the buzzer. Sweet! Bye-bye Kentucky.
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 7:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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