Bubble Watch: Saturday Open Thread
by Ben Broman on Feb 28, 2009 2:05 PM EST
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PrintMeant to get this started earlier, but there's still a lot of games on the slate that are impactful. Updates from all the games will be in the comments section, and there'll be updates in the post once games are official.
Georgetown over Villanova, 56-54: Uh oh. Georgetown was considered to be out of it (rightly so) but this game gives some real credibility to their bid. When you consider that they have some huge wins and the hardest SoS in the nation, their resume is starting to look good. No need to worry yet - it's still looking bad for them right now, but a strong finish will get them in.
Texas A&M over Iowa State, 87-59: Iowa State kept it close but ended up getting blown out. Texas A&M is looking really good right now in terms of the buble, especially if they make a run late in the B12 tournament. They're only .500 in the Big 12, though, which could make some of the committee do a double take.
UConn over Notre Dame, 72-65: Notre Dame is pretty much done. This would've been a huge win, but unless they get four straight in the Big East tourney, Notre Dame has no chance. First favorable outcome for the Terps today.
Washington over Arizona, 83-78: Arizona is pretty much in anyway, but the longer they linger, the better. Always a chance they could fall apart.
Duke over Virginia Tech, 72-65: Thank god, I can go back to hating Duke now. That was really painful. Also, the final minute lasted forever. If VT loses their final 2, they have to have a giant ACCT to get in.
LSU over Kentucky, 73-70: Not only was this a great game, it was big for the Terps. The committee always likes Kentucky, but they can't justify putting them in when they are consistently beat by the very few decent teams in the SEC.
Dayton over Temple, 70-65: Temple is finished. That makes it five in a row for the Terps.
Purdue over Ohio State, 75-50: Just losing to Purdue isn't a big deal for Ohio State. But losing by 25 could leave a sour taste in some mouths.
BYU over Utah, 63-50: That's bad news. Even though BYU's resume is still middling in regards to actually good teams, the win gives them a great conference W and if one looks only at numbers (RPI currently 23) it'll look pretty good.
Oklahoma St. over Texas, 68-59: All OkSt needed to complete their resume was a "defining win". I'm not sure you can call Texas that, but it's possible if only by name recognition. It's actually arguable that Texas is now on the bubble. Indeed, if they can't get 20 wins and have a supbar B12 tourney, I could see them being left out.
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Georgetown @ Villanova
Not looking too good right now. I didn’t actually put this one in the below post, because I assumed Georgetown was out of it, but this win could put them back in the discussion.
Iowa State @ TAMU
Doing surprisingly well. Currently a five-point game, but the actual play is pretty even, from what I’ve seen.
Iowa State @ TAMU
Cut the lead down to one, but they’re down by 7 right now. Looks like they’re losing touch.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame is finished.
Notre Dame @ UConn
Maybe I called it too early. Notre Dame just won’t go away. It’s early yet, but I still have trouble seeing them win this game.
Notre Dame @ UConn
Irish cut the lead to two. Not good at all. They’re resilient, I’ll give them that.
Notre Dame @ UConn, Iowa State @ TAMU
Notre Dame only down 2 at half, Texas A&M really pulling away. No games have really gone the way we want them to, at least not yet. I’m still confident UConn will beat Notre Dame, but that’s still only 1-2.
Calling ISU @ TAMU
Not even close anymore – TAMU up 13 and has all the momentum. Meanwhile, Notre Dame down 2 at half.
'Zona @ Washington
Huskies winning by 4 right now. Good, even though Zona is pretty much already in anyway.
Duke
Up 7 right now. Awesome news. A Duke win would not only deny VT one more big win, it’d improve Maryland’s RPI.
4 of the 5
Out of the games being played currently involving bubble teams, 4 of the 5 are going Maryland’s way.
Washington regains lead
Washington takes the lead from Arizona. All 5 games are currently going the Terps way.
LOL, who's the UK-LSU game halftime commentator?
He’s clueless. No way this “punches Kentucky’s ticket”. It gets them back into the discussion, I’ll give you that, but it doesn’t guarantee a trip.
Games closing
Kentucky gaining on LSU, VT gaining on Duke. Late in the game, I’m a little scared. Both games are 2-point margins.
Maryland just needs to
win their own games and forget about what everyone else is doing. All three of these games are winnable, especially with how Wake has been playing. I’m telling you, the committee loves the ACC too much to exclude a 20 win / 9 ACC win team.
Really though, I just could not root for Duke. I kept telling myself “We need VT to lose”, but I found myself rooting against the Dukies when it got down to it. F’in Duke.
Insert clever and witty remark slash pun here!
UMD 8/04 - 5/08: Go Terps!
I forgot to add
that ESPN’s sucking of Georgetown’s [censored] is beyond ridiculous. They’re 15 – 12!
Insert clever and witty remark slash pun here!
UMD 8/04 - 5/08: Go Terps!
8-8 in ACC won't get it done.
Two of the last three years, UM went 8-8 in the ACC and got left out. They gotta win two of the remaining 3.
2005-06 19-13 8-8 (Didn’t get in)
2006-07 25-9 10-6 NCAA 2nd Round
2007-08 19-15 8-8 (Didn’t get in)
Duck Around - a progressive blog about the Eastern Shore of Maryland. And getting off my lawn.
GT/ND
GT or ND don’t belong in the DANCE. “hoya paranoia” is long gone and the last i heard NBC was’nt carrying the DANCE so no ND
MD’s just has to worry about winning tom. nite. like they always say,1 game at a time
GO TERPS
Sorry
Took a two hour break for dinner. Updates:
Texas losing to Oklahoma St. isn’t good. OKSt is a real bubble team that really needed that defining win. If they can finish off Texas, they have it.
Indiana sticking with Penn St. Great news, hopefully they’ll get knocked out officially.
BYU handled Utah. They’re still looking iffy, but it adds some credence.
Purdue and Dayton both came through for the Terps. Temple is finished, Ohio State is iffy.
LSU won at the buzzer. Sweet! Bye-bye Kentucky.
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