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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

Looking Ahead to Indiana-Maryland

After the week that was on the hardwood, I really didn't think I would be looking forward to basketball again, but lo and behold, I am. Maryland returns to play with their matchup in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge, and they got a pretty nice draw.

Indiana's probably a bottom three (maybe two, because no one is worse than Iowa this year) in the Big Ten, and that's saying a lot. This team is better than any team Maryland's beaten so far, but far worse than the teams they've lost to.

The Hoosiers are 3-3 right now, with losses to some very average teams - George Mason, Boston, and Ole Miss. These aren't the Hoosiers of old, not yet at least.

Star-divide

Just because they're not great doesn't mean they don't have some dangerous players. Jeremiah Rivers and Maurice Creek, both newcomers to Bloomington, can definitely cause some problems for Maryland. Rivers, the brother of Austin Rivers and son of Doc Rivers, is the team leader in points and assists. He's a big PG at 6-5, meaning Greivis Vasquez won't have his usual height advantage at the one. Rivers can use that to his advantage and frustrate an already struggling Vasquez.

Creek's a true freshman that Maryland recruited. He's a pure scorer - not the most amazing stroke, not overwhelming athleticism, but an understanding of the offensive game that allows him to score consistently. He's earned a starting spot and is leading the Hoosiers in scoring despite ranking fourth on the team in minutes. I'm assuming Sean Mosley will match up with him, and that'll be an entertaining matchup.

One area Indiana can exploit is Maryland's lack of size. They have three servicable big men in sophomore Tom Pritchard and freshmen Derek Elston and Christian Watford. Watford is the best of the trio and was a top 50 player last year; he's more of a 3/4 combo, but can play either in a pinch, especially against Landon Milbourne. He tends to be more of a slasher, and he'll probably overpower Maryland's undersized 3s when he lines up there.

Pritchard and Elston split the remaining big man minutes, and have varying games. Elston is an ultra-physical bull of a player, limited technically but stronger (pound for pound) and more aggressive than anyone else on the floor. Pritchard is very big and bulky, and he puts his size to good use. He tends to fade down the stretch due to being so big; calling him a more developed version of Jordan Williams isn't a stretch.

As a team, Indiana doesn't slow it down as much as you might expect, being from the Big Ten. They're not run-and-gun by any stretch, but there's not a big difference between Maryland's and Indiana's pace. They're a solid team from 3, but they don't take a lot of them. They're a better team than Maryland at rebounding, but not, say, Cincy-level.

I'm calling a medium-sized Maryland win in this one: Terps 75, Hoosiers 68.

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This will be an interesting barometer...

Nice preview. I’m seeing this game as an odd combination of things we should be able to exploit and things that could give us a lot of trouble.

For the former, Indiana is actually playing a significantly FASTER pace than we are this year (73.7 vs 71.3). So this should be a fast-paced game, which I think gives us the advantage, as transition offense is one of our biggest strengths. Also, while you point at Rivers’ height as a reason to worry about Greivis, I think he matches up well with Rivers. The guys that have been giving GV trouble so far are quick little guards. Also, Rivers is not a good scorer and does not lead the team in scoring, in fact he’s fourth. All in all, I see this as a game where GV could really blow up and dominate.

Another plus for us is that, while Elston may be a strong kid, he is an inexperienced freshman and doesn’t quite have the height or bulk of a Yancy Gates. And their other big men are not in the same category either. I think Watford is a favorable matchup for Landon (if LM plays smart defense). Also, Pritchett is a good offensive rebounder but a soft defender, and he’s been struggling to even stay on the court this year (I’ll take JWill over him any day). So, assuming the effort is there on the boards, I don’t see this as a game where we get beat in the post.

On the negative side, this is a true road game in a hostile environment. Indiana is a big unknown at this point – they could be the worst team in the Big 10 (sorry, I don’t buy that Iowa is clearly worse, they were much better last year), or they could end up winning some shockers if their freshman talent develops. And they have nothing to lose really – no one expects them to do anything. Our all-inexperienced frontcourt hasn’t really dealt with this kind of environment before. So that could be a challenge. Creek looks like one of the elite freshmen in the country – he has consistently scored 15-18 points each game so far and is hitting nearly half of his 3s. Dumas was their leading scorer last year and a good 3p shooter as well, so given the way Wisconsin rained down the 3s on us, I’m a little worried about those two guys.

I’m also expecting a moderate-margin win, with some lessons learned along the way.

by jellisjenius on Nov 30, 2009 11:30 AM EST reply actions  

Question

How do they pick the match-ups for the individual games in the ACC – Big 10 Challenge?

by GoTerpsBaby on Nov 30, 2009 12:57 PM EST reply actions  

Greivis will break out big this game...

25+ points, better than 50% shooting.

This hostile environment will definitely get him going, and he’ll be able to pick on Jeremiah Rivers. Maryland by 15 in this one.

by kckb8 on Nov 30, 2009 1:22 PM EST reply actions  

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